If you came to the Blogger Beach Cleanup on the International Day of Climate Action to support 350.org, which is pushing for a strong international climate treaty at the Copenhagen Climate Talks next month — then thank you. Since then, if you’ve been keeping track of Copenhagen Climate Talks-related news, you’ve likely gotten rather confused by reports that the talks are dead or pointless or alive or resurrected.

What’s really going to happen at Copenhagen? No one knows, according to David Roberts at Grist, who says everyone’s simply guessing:

What all this “news” has in common is that it’s based on Some Person Guessing. The closer one gets to the circus, the more one realizes that everyone is guessing, right up to negotiators and senators themselves. Everyone’s trying to shape the future, not forecast it.

David points to a poll which shows that even insiders’ “predictions” about what they think WILL happen line up quite nicely with their ideological leanings on what they WANT to happen.

So don’t lose hope — Geoffrey Lean, Contributing Editor at London’s Daily Telegraph says “Copenhagen panic is premature,” and David Turnbull, Director of the Climate Action Network – International, says “Rumors of Copenhagen’s demise have been greatly exaggerated.”

Keep pushing for what YOU want to happen in Copenhagen. If you’re clueless about Copenhagen, GOOD has put together a Guide to COP15 — with a quick introduction to get you started.

Image via 350.org

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